Looking back to the closing of schools and businesses last spring, 68% say this was an appropriate response to the coronavirus epidemic, while 26% say it was an overreaction. MILWAUKEE, Wis. (WBAY) - The last Marquette Law School Poll before the election indicates another close presidential race in Wisconsin. The full trend for this question is shown in Table 17. The full trends for favorability of Trump and Biden are shown in Tables 6 and 7. Table 23: Gov. Support for a mask requirement exceeds 60% in all regions of the state, as shown in Table 6 for August and October polls. The poll shows little change from the Oct. 4 poll which had Biden with 47% of votes and Trump with 42%. Among Democrats, 3% are voting for Trump and 92% are voting for Biden, with none for Jorgensen and 4% undecided or declining to say. Eighty-two percent of Democrats are very or somewhat confident the vote will be accurately counted, while 18% are not too or not at all confident. Table 1: Vote preference among likely voters, September-October 2020, Sensitivity of results to turnout and undecided voters. Nineteen percent say they are not at all worried, virtually the same as the 21% in early October. The new poll interviewed 806 registered voters in Wisconsin. Each day will feature a video conversation between poll director Charles Franklin and Mike Gousha, distinguished fellow in law and public policy, available at 12:15 p.m. CST on the Marquette Law School website. Asked about the vice-presidential candidates, all following the announcement of Trump’s illness, 33% say they are very confident and 23% are somewhat confident in Vice President Mike Pence’s ability to perform the duties of president, while 12% are not very confident and 21% are not at all confident. Table 16: Approve or disapprove of Trump’s handling of the economy, May-October 2020. By contrast, almost half of Democrats expect to proceed absentee by mail, as shown in Table 21, more even than on Election Day. That is a 3-point increase in approval and no change in disapproval since early October. Table 11: Approve or disapprove of Trump’s handling of the coronavirus pandemic, March-October 2020. Judge Amy Coney Barrett has been nominated to fill the vacancy on the U.S. Supreme Court created by the death of Justice Ruth Bader Ginsburg. Results and commentary will be available on Twitter via the @MULawPoll account, beginning at 12:15 p.m. An advisory detailing media availability will be released at a later date. Marquette.edu // News Center // 2020 News Releases  //. Franklin led the Law School Poll during the highly scrutinized 2012 election cycle, establishing Marquette as the definitive source for information concerning public opinion in Wisconsin. Approval is 3 points higher than in early October, with no change in disapproval. Just over one in three respondents, 36%, say they have stopped talking about politics with at least one person because of disagreements over the presidential election, while 63% say they have not done this. Each day will feature a video conversation between poll director Charles Franklin and Mike Gousha, distinguished fellow in law and public policy, available at 12:15 p.m. CST on the Marquette Law School website. That is a one-point decline in approval from September. Table 24: Is there anyone you have stopped talking with about politics due to disagreements over the election for president? Most Republicans intend to vote in person on Election Day, with fewer than one-fifth planning to choose absentee by mail. Handling of the economy remains Trumps strongest area of approval, with 51% approval and 48% disapproval in the new poll, a 3-point increase in disapproval. The margin for Trump among Election Day voters has declined over time, while Biden’s advantage among absentee and early in-person voters has remained strong over the last two months. Forty-four percent think the Senate should vote on this nomination before the November elections, while 51% think the Senate should wait until after the election to decide whether to vote on the nomination. Republicans and independents have been relatively stable in their type of ballot since August, though independents are a bit more likely to say they will vote in person in the October survey. This is the first time since January 2019, when the legislature’s job approval was first asked, that more disapprove than approve. #mulawpoll — MULawPoll (@MULawPoll) October 7, … Results and commentary will be synchronously released on Twitter via the @MULawPoll account. In early September, Biden was supported by 47%, Trump by 43% and Jorgensen by 4%. The Marquette Law School Poll of 1,523 adults nationwide found the 87-year-old Ginsburg was easily the most recognized of the nine justices, with 63% of respondents saying they knew enough to have an opinion on her. On Monday, Oct. 26, the Senate confirmed the nomination of Amy Coney Barrett to fill the vacancy on the U.S. Supreme Court created by the death of Justice Ruth Bader Ginsburg. Results and commentary will be available on Twitter via the @MULawPoll account beginning at 12:15 p.m. An advisory detailing media availability will … News and results will be available on Twitter via the @MULawPoll account beginning at 12:15 p.m. An advisory detailing media availability will be released at a later date. Those results also included those who were undecided but leaned to a candidate. The poll was conducted Sept. 8-15. Views of the direction of the economy have turned sharply down since February, with many more people saying the economy has gotten worse over the past year. Subscribe … Franklin co-founded pollster.com, an award-winning site for nonpartisan polling analysis, and is a member of the ABC News election-night analysis team. Table 18: Vote to confirm Barrett to the Supreme Court by party identification, October 2020. The latest coronavirus information and updates. Twenty-seven percent of likely voters say they are very confident that the votes will be accurately cast and counted in the election, with 43% somewhat confident, 21% not too confident and 7% not at all confident. If all age groups are weighted to match their long-term partisan composition, the overall vote margin changes by only 1 percentage point, to 48% Biden and 42% for Trump. Through debates, symposia, public lectures, panels, conferences, and the Law School's On the Issues series, Marquette University Law School has established itself as a leading venue for serious civil discourse about law and public policy matters affecting the region and beyond. While the allocation reduced the undecided, refused and other categories, it does not change the margin, which remains 5 points in favor of Biden. MILWAUKEE – A new Marquette Law School poll finds former Vice President Joe Biden the choice of 48% of likely voters in Wisconsin, President Donald Trump supported by 43% and Libertarian Jo Jorgensen receiving 2%. The percentage of Democrats choosing absentee by mail has declined since May while their intention to vote in-person on Election Day has increased. Democrat Joe … Tables 28-30 present the recent favorability ratings of elected officials in Wisconsin and the percentage of respondents who haven’t heard enough or say they don’t know. There are substantial differences in perceived debate performance by partisanship, as shown in Table 2. A third of respondents think Trump has mild symptoms from COVID-19, while slightly more say they don’t yet know how ill he is. As of October, 44% approve and 52% disapprove. In the likely-voter sample, 7% say they are undecided or declined to say how they would vote. … This appears to be noisy sampling variation. The number who say they will vote in person on Election Day continues to rise. 2020 Elections. The trend since March is shown in Table 10. Results and commentary will be available on Twitter via the @MULawPoll account, beginning at 12:15 p.m. An advisory detailing media availability will be released at a later date. News and results will be available on Twitter via the @MULawPoll account beginning at 12:15 p.m. An advisory detailing media availability will be released at a later date. The Marquette Law School Poll released Wednesday shows Biden with a 47-43 percent lead over Trump as election day nears in the valuable swing state. The last Marquette Law School Poll, in early August, gave Biden a five point lead (49-44). White voters were far more likely to have a favorable view (81%) than Black and Latino voters (36% and 60%). March-October 2020. Table 23: Vote by ballot type by poll wave, May-October 2020. According to the Wisconsin Elections Commission data, 37.5% of registered voters had voted as of the end of the poll’s field period on Oct. 25. Those results also included those who were undecided but leaned to a candidate. Table 3: Do you think the Senate should vote on the nomination to the U.S. Supreme Court before the presidential election or wait until after the election to decide whether or not to vote on the nomination? While twice as many respondents say former Vice President Joe Biden did better in the debate as say Trump did better, the shift in the vote margin since early September is a single point. Tables 8 and 9 show favorable and unfavorable ratings for Pence and Harris this fall. By party identification. None of the poll-to-poll changes in support are outside the margin of error. MILWAUKEE, Wis. (WBAY) - The last Marquette Law School Poll before the election indicates another close presidential race in Wisconsin. Table 6: Support for requiring masks by region by poll, August and October 2020. Another 7% say they will vote for none of these candidates, don’t know how they will vote or declined to say. The sample included 806 registered voters in Wisconsin, who were interviewed by cell phone or landline, with a margin of error of +/- 4.3 percentage points. This is the final Marquette Law School poll before the November 3 election. These results include those who are undecided but say they lean to a candidate. In October, 72% agree that masks should be required in public places, while 26% disagree with requiring masks. Phone: 414.288.5285 Fax: 414.288.5881 john.novotny@marquette.edu There have been changes in the preferred type of ballot since May, with a smaller percentage in each partisan category choosing absentee by mail, though large partisan differences persist, as shown in Table 22. Local Government Dane County reaffirms stay-at-home order as others roll theirs back There are 700 likely voters with a margin of error of +/- 4.6 percentage points. Evers handling of coronavirus outbreak, approval, Approval of how the Wisconsin legislature is handling its job. The partisan makeup of the sample, excluding those who lean to a party, is 30% Republican, 29% Democratic and 40% percent independent. New Marquette Law School Poll finds that, amid major developments, there has been little change in Wisconsin voter’s presidential preferences. Table 24: Wisconsin legislature’s job approval. Table 17: Do you think the decision last spring to close schools and businesses and to restrict the size of public gatherings was an appropriate response to the coronavirus outbreak or was it an overreaction that did more harm than good? There are 749 likely voters, with a margin of error of +/- 4.4 percentage points. Table 27 shows the trend in family finances since January. Democrat Joe … The poll was conducted Oct. 21-25, 2020. A complete news release and poll data, including toplines and slides, will be available at 12:30 p.m. on the Marquette Law Poll website. Half of respondents think the pandemic will continue for another year or more before things start to return to normal, while 20% say it will be under control within three months. The entire questionnaire, methodology statement, full results and breakdowns by demographic groups are available at law.marquette.edu/poll/results-and-data. The Marquette Law Poll is a public policy initiative of Marquette University Law School. Table 13: Approve or disapprove of Trump’s handling of the economy, March-October 2020. Table 22: Ballot type by party identification, by poll, May-October 2020. Results and commentary will be synchronously released on Twitter via the @MULawPoll account. The trend in approval and disapproval is shown in Table 23. Before looking to the future, Director of Marquette Law School Poll Charles Franklin is taking a deep dive into voter trends in 2020. The full trend is shown in Table 11. Fifty-two percent say they are comfortable eating inside at a restaurant, while 47% say they are uncomfortable doing so. Among those who say they have already voted, 64% report they voted for Biden, 25% voted for Trump, and 2% voted for Jorgensen. Forty-nine percent have a favorable view of Biden and 46% have an unfavorable view of him. Table 9: Favorable or unfavorable view of Black Lives Matter movement, June-October 2020. MILWAUKEE – A new Marquette Law School poll of likely Wisconsin voters finds little change in preference or attitudes following the first presidential debate and after President Donald Trump tested positive for COVID-19. March-October 2020, Supreme Court nomination and upcoming Affordable Care Act case. A new Marquette Law School Poll out Wednesday touched on a hot-button issue of late – public opinion of the U.S. Supreme Court. On Nov. 10, the Supreme Court is scheduled to hear oral arguments in cases that challenge the constitutionality of the Affordable Care Act, also known as the “ACA” or “Obamacare.” Thirty-five percent would favor the Court’s declaring the law unconstitutional, while 55% would oppose it doing so. Fifty-six percent say this describes Biden and 40% say this does not describe him. Most think that in-person campaign rallies should be halted, while a majority think the debates should continue. After an initial approval rating in March of over 50% for his handling of the coronavirus pandemic, Trump’s approval on this front has fallen to 40 percent in late October, a slight change since early October, with approval down 1 point and disapproval up 2 points. A plurality, 47%, think the Big Ten conference and University of Wisconsin—Madison should play football this fall, while 40% think they should not play. The finding is one of many from the latest Marquette Law School Poll released Wednesday, which shows Wisconsin voters otherwise largely support major initiatives Evers has proposed in his budget, with a few exceptions. With substantial partisan differences in choice of ballot type, there are large differences in candidate choice by ballot type, as shown in Table 23 among likely voters. Table 1: Vote among likely voters, May-October 2020. Table 7: Support for requiring masks by party identification by poll, August and October 2020, Views of protests, BLM and Evers’ response to events in Kenosha. Table 3 compares the vote among likely voters without allocation against the allocated vote. The trend in approval and disapproval is shown in Table 19. Table 25: Change in economy over past 12 months, Table 26: Outlook for the economy over the next 12 months. Table 21: Favorable or unfavorable view of Black Lives Matter movement, June-October 2020, Approval of Evers’ job performance and handling of coronavirus. Among Trump supporters, 93% say their minds are made up. Biden’s favorable rating has slowly increased, with October showing the first net favorable rating for him this year at 48% favorable with 45% unfavorable. A complete news release and poll data, including toplines and slides, will be available at 12:30 p.m. on the Marquette Law Poll website. Sixteen percent of likely voters expect Trump to win the election by a lot, 23 percent think Trump will win by a little, 29% think Biden will win by a little and 17% think Biden will win by a lot. While substantial majorities in all regions support a mask requirement, there are partisan differences which have persisted since August, as shown in Table 7. The trend in overall approval of Evers since March is shown in Table 22. About 48 percent of likely voters favor the former vice president, compared with 43 who back Trump, according to the poll. There are three likely themes for this initiative: presidential and Senate campaigns; citizen reaction to the current state administration and its … 2020 Elections. Milwaukee, WI 53233 Contact Kevin at (414) 288-4745 or kevin.m.conway@marquette.edu. Results and commentary will be available on Twitter via the @MULawPoll account beginning at 12:15 p.m. An advisory detailing media availability will … The ongoing coronavirus pandemic and how comfortable people are with reopening schools are also covered in the poll. By a 2-to-1 margin, voters say Biden did a better job in the debate. By party identification. This is little changed from October 2016, when 34% said they had stopped talking and 65% said they had not. Over a third say they’ve stopped talking about politics with someone, and this varies by political party. Table 2: Regardless of which candidate you happen to support, who do you think did the best job in the first presidential debate, Joe Biden or Donald Trump, or didn’t you pay much attention to the debate? A complete news release and poll data, including toplines and slides, will be available at 12:30 p.m. on the Marquette Law School Poll website. Approval of protests over police violence against Black Americans declined from June to early August, prior to events in Kenosha, but barely moved following the late-August Kenosha shootings and protests, as shown in Table 8. Favorable views of the Black Lives Matter movement also declined from June to August but did not change further in September. MILWAUKEE, Wis. (WBAY) - The last Marquette Law School Poll before the election indicates another close presidential race in Wisconsin. In October, 36% say they approve of the way the Wisconsin legislature is handling its job, while 50% say they disapprove. There are 749 likely voters, with a margin of error of +/- 4.4 percentage points. The partisan makeup of the sample, including those who lean to a party, is 45% Republican, 44% Democratic and 9% independent. Because the group is small, this anomaly has little effect on the overall vote margin. This is a decline from three weeks ago, when 56% approved and 38% disapproved. Few partisans give the edge to the other party’s candidate, although more than one in five Republicans and Independents volunteer that both candidates did badly, while only 6% of Democrats agree. To assess the probable impact of their votes, an “allocated” vote assigns these respondents to Biden if they have a favorable view of Biden and not a favorable view of Trump and assigns them to Trump if they are favorable to Trump and not favorable to Biden. The Marquette Law Poll is a public policy initiative of Marquette University Law School. Table 4: Taking into consideration both your risk of contracting it and the seriousness of the illness, how worried are you personally about experiencing coronavirus? Fourteen percent say both did badly, while 21% say they didn’t pay much attention to the debate. After six months of elevated approval ratings, approval of Gov. #mulawpoll" Approval of how Trump is handling his job as president is little changed over the surveys since May, as shown in Table 15. The Marquette University Law School poll saw a more than 150% increase in its response rates as Wisconsinites faced stay-at-home orders during the novel coronavirus pandemic. Capital Times, The Red and the Blue: Political Polarization Through the Prism of Metropolitan Milwaukee This poll interviewed 805 registered Wisconsin voters by landline or cell phone from Sept. 30-Oct. 4, 2020. Partisan divides are vivid in new Law School Poll results, Wedge Issues podcast: Charles Franklin on polls, partisanship and public opinion The trend in overall approval of Evers in 2020 is shown in Table 18. Given the consistency of Biden’s margin in multiple polls this year, it is likely that the 18-29-year-old result in October is a sampling anomaly rather than a real change. The Marquette Law School Poll was announced in November 2011 as a project of the law school's public policy initiatives. Marquette University Law School poll director Charles Franklin discusses the latest results, which show Democrat Joe Biden leading by single digits with … Marquette University The results are little changed from the Marquette Law School poll conducted from Sept. 30 to Oct. 4, in which Biden was the choice of 47%, Trump the choice of 42% and Jorgensen the choice of 4%. Table 15: Vote by age, September-October combined. Those findings are an outlier, as FiveThirtyEight noted Wednesday.N o other poll of the state showed that size of a margin for Biden since June. Results for that group have a margin of error of +/- 6.4 percentage points. But the reviews of his handling of the coronavirus are not as good, 41 percent approve while 56 percent disapprove. The Marquette poll found more than three in four voters (76%) have a favorable view of the police, while only 13% have an unfavorable view. Marquette Law School Poll puts Biden ahead of Trump It's the largest Biden margin in Marquette polls this year. Tony Evers handled events in Kenosha following the police shooting of Jacob Blake in August, while 44% disapprove of his response. Through debates, symposia, public lectures, panels, conferences, and the Law School's On the Issues series, Marquette University Law School has established itself as a leading venue for serious civil discourse about law and public policy matters affecting the region and beyond. The Marquette Law School Poll is the most extensive statewide polling project in Wisconsin history. [This release has been updated to reflect the date change from Aug. 5 which was announced on July 30] Commentary will be available on Twitter via the @MULawPoll account beginning at 12:15 p.m. Table 6: Favorable or unfavorable view of Trump, May-Oct. 2020, Table 7: Favorable or unfavorable view of Biden, May-October 2020. The Marquette Law Poll is a public policy initiative of Marquette University Law School.. Democrat Joe … Phone: (800) 222-6544, Privacy Policy Legal Disclaimer Non-Discrimination Policy Accessible Technology. In the new poll, Biden is the choice of 46% of likely voters and Trump is supported by 41%. An additional 9% declined to say for whom they voted. There was little change in reported financial situation from September to October. 1250 W. Wisconsin Ave. In the original project description, the university announced the polling as a 2012 project, writing, "Through a yearlong program of surveys and scientifically sound polls, the Marquette Law School Poll will inform understanding of public opinion and political choice. After an initial approval rating in March of over 50% for his handling of the coronavirus outbreak, Trump’s approval rating has fallen to 41% in October, unchanged from September. The poll showed that 69% believe the “safer at home” order is appropriate, down from 86% in March. Partisanship excluding those who lean has been 30% Republican and 29% Democratic, with 40% independent. There is little change from September to October. The margin of error is +/-4.2 percentage points for the full sample. Only 41% could offer an opinion on Chief Justice John Roberts. This is the final Marquette Law School poll before the November 3 election. The September poll will focus on how the presidential race looks following the party conventions, and in the aftermath of events in Kenosha. Table 8: Approval of protests against police shootings, June-October 2020. The results are little changed from the Marquette Law School poll conducted from Sept. 30 to Oct. 4, in which Biden was the choice of 47%, Trump the choice of 42% and Jorgensen the choice of 4%. Table 28: Evers’ recent favorability trend, Table 29: Sen. Tammy Baldwin’s recent favorability trend, Table 30: Sen. Ron Johnson’s recent favorability trend. The model results for likely voters are based on those respondents who say they are certain they will vote or have already done so. By party identification and by year, October 2016 and October 2020, Table 25: Change in economy over past 12 months, January-October 2020, Table 26: Outlook for the economy over the next 12 months, January-October 2020. The video will be available at 12:15 p.m. CST on the law school website. In early October, 52% approved and 42% disapproved. Among all registered voters polled, 41% say Biden did the best job in the first presidential debate on Sept. 29, while 20% say Trump did best. There were 700 likely voters, with a margin of error of +/- 4.6 percentage points. Table 18: Tony Evers’ job approval, January-October 2020. Tables 13 and 14 shows favorable and unfavorable ratings for Pence and Harris this fall. There has been little change in regions since August, except for the non-Fox Valley north and west of the state (“Rest of the state”), where support has increased. Table 3: Vote for likely voters and allocated vote, respectively. Another 7% said they would vote for none of these candidates, didn’t know how they would vote or declined to say. Table 20: Approval of protests against police shootings, June-October 2020. Forty percent approve of the way Gov. Those findings are an outlier, as FiveThirtyEight noted Wednesday.N o other poll of the state showed that size of a margin for Biden since June. Trump’s law and order message falls flat in Wisconsin . Jorgensen was not included prior to September. Table 20: Ballot type, by poll, May-October 2020. Following Trump’s diagnosis, 52% say both Trump and Biden should stop holding in-person campaign rallies, while 37% say rallies are safe and should continue. This poll interviewed 806 registered Wisconsin voters by landline or cell phone, Oct. 21-25, 2020. Table 12: Approve or disapprove of Trump’s handling of protests, June-October 2020. Among Republicans, 7% say they are voting for Biden, while 86% are voting for Trump, 3% for Jorgensen and 4% undecided or declining to say. In contrast, 67% say the vice-presidential and remaining presidential debates should be held as scheduled, while 23% say the debates should be canceled. Table 15: Approve or disapprove of Trump’s handling of his job as president, May-October 2020. A complete news release and poll data, including toplines and slides, will be available at 12:30 p.m. on the Marquette Law School Poll website. Democrat Joe … Among those likely voters who have not yet cast a ballot, 35% report they will vote for Biden, 56% for Trump and 3% for Jorgensen. In late October, 22% say they are very worried about becoming ill from the coronavirus, a decrease from 27% in early October despite the rise of cases in the state. Table 21: Ballot type by party identification, October 2020. Table 16: Taking into consideration both your risk of contracting it and the seriousness of the illness, how worried are you personally about experiencing coronavirus? Trump has held a 42% favorable rating since June, with 53-to-55% unfavorable. The vote margins may be sensitive to assumptions about turnout. The full trend is shown in Table 17. Table 19: Favor or oppose the Supreme Court’s declaring the ACA unconstitutional, by party identification, October 2020. In the new late-October poll, 50% approve and 43% disapprove of Wisconsin Gov. The sample included 805 registered voters in Wisconsin, interviewed by cell phone or landline, with a margin of error of +/- 4.2 percentage points. March-October 2020. Through debates, symposia, public lectures, panels, conferences, and the Law School's On the Issues series, Marquette University Law School has established itself as a leading venue for serious civil discourse about law and public policy matters affecting the region and beyond. Under Franklin's direction as a visiting professor at Marquette, the poll became the … His “On the Issues” series of conversations with newsmakers supports Marquette Law School’s commitment to serve as a modern-day public square for the city of Milwaukee, the state of Wisconsin and beyond. Evers’ handling of the coronavirus issue has 52% approval and 45% disapproval. Eighty percent of Trump voters expect him to win and 11% expect Biden to win. In September, 51% approved and 43% disapproved. Table 2 shows vote both if turnout is lower than the likely-voter sample implies and, by contrast, if turnout is higher using all registered voters as the sample. Table 19: Tony Evers’ handling of coronavirus outbreak, March-October 2020, Choice of ballot type for November election. May was the high-water mark, among all partisan categories, for the percentage saying they would vote absentee by mail. Tables 28-30 present the recent favorability ratings of elected officials in Wisconsin and the percentage of respondents who haven’t heard enough about them or say they don’t know. October 2020. Table 8: Favorable or unfavorable view of Pence, September-October 2020, Table 9: Favorable or unfavorable view of Harris, September-October 2020. A substantial 37% say they don’t know how serious Trump’s illness is. Republicans are divided on the issue, while a large majority of independents support requiring masks and Democrats are almost unanimous in support. Kevin is the associate director for university communication in the Office of Marketing and Communication. Eckstein Hall, 244 Mon - Fri: 8:30 a.m. - 4:30 p.m. If they are favorable to both or not favorable to both, they remain unallocated and remain undecided. The partisan makeup of the sample, including those who lean to a party, is 44% Republican, 45% Democratic and 10% independent. Table 11: Favorable or unfavorable view of Trump, January-October 2020, Table 12: Favorable or unfavorable view of Biden, January-October 2020. Among Biden voters, 80% expect him to win and 6% expect Trump to win. Among all registered voters, 43% say “cares about people like you” describes Trump and 54% say this does not describe him. 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